According to the data released by Shanghai Steel Union, the price of battery-grade lithium carbonate (in early trading) dropped by 100 yuan compared with the previous day, with an average price of 76,350 yuan/ton.On the 13th, the European futures of the container freight index rose by 7.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the European futures of the main contract container freight index closed at 2502, up or down by +7.03%, with a turnover of 41,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 3,022 lots. A total of 78,900 lots of European futures contracts were traded, an increase of 8,599 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 25,100 lots, an increase of 466 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 22,100 lots, a decrease of 120 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)The Emergency Management Department made unannounced visits to inspect enterprises involved in dust explosion. Recently, the Emergency Management Department sent a working group to carry out unannounced visits to enterprises in key industries of industry and trade in Henan and Guangxi without greeting, accompanying reception and preparing materials, so as to promote the key areas of industry and trade to do a good job in the investigation and rectification of potential safety hazards in industry and trade this winter and next spring. It was found that some enterprises involved in dust explosion did not take explosion prevention and control measures, did not set up gas lock and ash unloading devices, did not set up spark detection and elimination devices, and did not implement dust cleaning system.
The cultural media sector rose and strengthened, with more than 10 daily limit shares, including Tianyu Digital, Guangbo, Palm Reading Technology, vision china, Huizhou Intelligent, Guangdong Media, Tianxiaxiu and Lingnan.Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.
From January to October, the national output of photovoltaic polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries and components all increased by more than 20% year-on-year. According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, from January to October 2024, China's photovoltaic industry operated smoothly as a whole. According to the announcement of photovoltaic industry norms, enterprise information and industry associations, the output of photovoltaic polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries and components in China increased by more than 20% year-on-year, and the export volume of photovoltaic cells increased by more than 40%. In the polysilicon sector, the national output from January to October was about 1.58 million tons, up 39.0% year-on-year. In the silicon wafer link, the national output from January to October was about 608GW, and the export volume was about 53.2GW. In the battery sector, from January to October, the national output of crystalline silicon batteries was about 510GW, and the export volume was about 45.9GW. In terms of components, from January to October, the national output of crystalline silicon components was about 453GW, and the export volume was about 205.9GW.Internal notice of Extreme Vietnam: The social security accumulation fund has been paid successfully in November, and the company's financial status may not be paid normally in December. According to the internal staff of Extreme Vietnam, the internal notice issued by Extreme Vietnam said that the social security accumulation fund and individual tax in Shanghai, Beijing and Zhejiang, which everyone is concerned about at present, have just been paid successfully thanks to the strong support of shareholders of Baidu and Geely. Please believe that the company is doing its best to tide over the difficulties with you. However, the notice also mentioned, "We are still very sorry about the problem in December. The company's book cash has bottomed out, and according to the relevant regulations of social security, December 13 is the final time limit for operating social security downsizing. If you miss the window period, the social security accumulation fund in December will not be paid in your own name. Colleagues who choose not to downsize may face the same problem next month. "(Sina Technology)Mitsubishi electric: We are discussing cooperation with Japanese domestic competitors to develop power chips. Qi Jianqi, president of mitsubishi electric, Japan, said in an interview that the company is discussing cooperation with Japanese domestic competitors to develop power chips. Qi Jianqi said that although the management widely supported the cooperation, the above discussion was blocked at the administrative level and no progress was made. Qi Jianqi pointed out that the power chip industry needs continuous technological innovation, and it is meaningful to cooperate while there is still a chance to win market share. "We should not compete with each other, but need to unite.".
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14